RE: It promises to be a campaign the likes of which we haven't seen for about two years
09-12-2018, 10:17 PM
09-12-2018, 10:17 PM
I have to agree with Rob that this piece is fairly written, even the links it gives, (at least the ones i checked) go to stories that cover both sides.
that out of the way, i have to put this out there. The average Trump supporter likely does not take opinion polls, because of this the polls that are done are skewed and inacurate. You ask how do I figure this? Simple Observance of previous polling.
During the 2016 campaign most if not all polls showed Hillary beating Trump hands down. Even the most Trump optimistic polls like Fox News had Trump down a couple of points to Hillary, but within the margin of error. Then there was the "upset" and the gnashing of teeth.
Second reason, methods of polling- Most polling (outside of straw polls after elections) is done one of three ways, cold/robo-calling, Internet, or news paper mail back. The last one only hits the paper readers who take the time to send back a response limiting their demographic, (which they sometimes even admit to). I think we can all here at least admit that the internet is inherently left leaning in its bias, (I mean come on, i only discuss politics here because SV and SB are such liberal hug boxes that if I even admit to being a conservative, i would spend months getting hate replies, let alone commenting with a political rejoinder that didn't agree with 99.9 percent of them.) Finally, the first one actually has the most chance of being unbiased except that the only conservatives that answer cold calls or Robo calls and answer the questions are usually elderly shut ins that want the attention, the rest of us are either to busy at work, or to tired from work to deal with the bullshit. I know I hang up on robo-calls simply because i don't like dealing with them, and so does everyone i know that i discuss politics with outside of here.
small sample size and anecdotes i know, but i put it to you guys, how much do you bother with these polling practices
that out of the way, i have to put this out there. The average Trump supporter likely does not take opinion polls, because of this the polls that are done are skewed and inacurate. You ask how do I figure this? Simple Observance of previous polling.
During the 2016 campaign most if not all polls showed Hillary beating Trump hands down. Even the most Trump optimistic polls like Fox News had Trump down a couple of points to Hillary, but within the margin of error. Then there was the "upset" and the gnashing of teeth.
Second reason, methods of polling- Most polling (outside of straw polls after elections) is done one of three ways, cold/robo-calling, Internet, or news paper mail back. The last one only hits the paper readers who take the time to send back a response limiting their demographic, (which they sometimes even admit to). I think we can all here at least admit that the internet is inherently left leaning in its bias, (I mean come on, i only discuss politics here because SV and SB are such liberal hug boxes that if I even admit to being a conservative, i would spend months getting hate replies, let alone commenting with a political rejoinder that didn't agree with 99.9 percent of them.) Finally, the first one actually has the most chance of being unbiased except that the only conservatives that answer cold calls or Robo calls and answer the questions are usually elderly shut ins that want the attention, the rest of us are either to busy at work, or to tired from work to deal with the bullshit. I know I hang up on robo-calls simply because i don't like dealing with them, and so does everyone i know that i discuss politics with outside of here.
small sample size and anecdotes i know, but i put it to you guys, how much do you bother with these polling practices
Wolf wins every fight but the one where he dies, fangs locked around the throat of his opponent.
Currently writing BROBd
Currently writing BROBd