Having met a few swing voters, they seem like the least informed of the bunch, and the most likely to skip voting. There are some people for whom this is not true, when they generally have conflicting values. Latino Roman Catholics, for instance, tend to agree with the conservative stance on abortion but the liberal stance on economics and minority rights. Some of them can't really decide which is more important, so they evaluate each candidate. Those are rare.
The education and engagement level does matter. We had several elections in California where the only Republican that could win statewide office was running for Governor. People didn't bother to vote down-ballot.
The turnout model is absolutely true in the case of Trump. I've haven't met anyone who hasn't made up their mind about him by this point. Not just America, but worldwide. I'm sure I could find some North Sentinelese who cried out "Fuck Donald Trump!" before he impaled me with his spear for trespassing on his fucking island.
The education and engagement level does matter. We had several elections in California where the only Republican that could win statewide office was running for Governor. People didn't bother to vote down-ballot.
The turnout model is absolutely true in the case of Trump. I've haven't met anyone who hasn't made up their mind about him by this point. Not just America, but worldwide. I'm sure I could find some North Sentinelese who cried out "Fuck Donald Trump!" before he impaled me with his spear for trespassing on his fucking island.
"Kitto daijoubu da yo." - Sakura Kinomoto