Wear Your Mask - COVID-19 Thread II

[LynnInDenver]

Given the way the positivity number here have only just stabilized (with the attendant lag in the hospitalization rates that are still increasing), much less dropped to an appreciable enough degree, and being on the cusp of American Thanksgiving, I'm afraid that we're not really at the plateau here, even on the rolling average of positivity, I expect that to happen about 4-6 weeks after Christmas, with a return to all-over increases within 2 weeks of each holiday. Yes, we've personally cancelled in-person Thanksgiving and Christmas for ourselves.

I'm expecting a lockdown, if not after Thanksgiving, but definitely after Christmas... and if it's the former, I expect they'll have to say, "if we catch you out on Christmas Eve/Christmas Day, you'd better be heading to/from work and not going to a gathering, because we will stop you, may or may not ticket you, and send you right the hell home, regardless of what other isolation you're doing or previous COVID-19 status."

Also, Colorado added another tier to the system in an effort to keep some things open and limping along... no more dining indoors at restaurants (outdoors with single household only), but a number of them have decided to throw in the towel at this point because of the ratcheting restrictions because it's just become too much to handle. It's what I was thinking... the threat of complete lockdown, and indeed the slide back towards it, is causing more economic destruction as places have decided it's just not worth trying to keep it going because there's no path to doing anything but losing money.