I just looked at the Poll Tracker page for this election.
Poll Tracker does exactly what it says on the tin - polls are tracked, weighted so that newer polls with larger samples are given more importance, and aggregated. It has a pretty good record of calling elections. (One can also play with it for what-if scenarios -- I managed to come up with a tie scenario by flipping only five "battlefield" states.)
I find it interesting that Trump has always been trailing in the polls by at least 1% of the total votes, and has usually been 2% or more behind Hillary since the tracking began on June 15. (That 2% number is important, because that's the margin of error.) Usually one sees the front-runners trading places in the lead a few times - that hasn't happened in this election.
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Rob Kelk
"Governments have no right to question the loyalty of those who oppose
them. Adversaries remain citizens of the same state, common subjects of
the same sovereign, servants of the same law."
- Michael Ignatieff, addressing Stanford University in 2012
Poll Tracker does exactly what it says on the tin - polls are tracked, weighted so that newer polls with larger samples are given more importance, and aggregated. It has a pretty good record of calling elections. (One can also play with it for what-if scenarios -- I managed to come up with a tie scenario by flipping only five "battlefield" states.)
I find it interesting that Trump has always been trailing in the polls by at least 1% of the total votes, and has usually been 2% or more behind Hillary since the tracking began on June 15. (That 2% number is important, because that's the margin of error.) Usually one sees the front-runners trading places in the lead a few times - that hasn't happened in this election.
--
Rob Kelk
"Governments have no right to question the loyalty of those who oppose
them. Adversaries remain citizens of the same state, common subjects of
the same sovereign, servants of the same law."
- Michael Ignatieff, addressing Stanford University in 2012